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Cotto-Trout preview and prediction

By: Albert Alvarez
 
Miguel Cotto vs. Austin Trout prediction-  Next week, Trout’s WBA 154 pound title will be on the line when he takes on Miguel Cotto in the lions den. Trout, (25-0) will need to jump on Cotto and jump on him early,  not allowing for Cotto’s fans to turn it up a level higher.

The (37-3) Cotto is 7-0 when fighting at Madison Square Garden. The Boriqua Bomber simply does not lose when fighting at the Garden. I feel that Cotto feeds off of the loud crowd noise and energy that his loyal fans demonstrate. Because of that home ring advantage, Trout must score and keep on scoring, silencing that rowdy crowd from the jump.

Trout’s conditioning must be at an all time high. He is going to have to sell his feints and must be able to throw 800-950 punches in the fight. Trout’s chances of winning will increase if he can do just that. I will be cheering for Trout to pull off the upset, but as of right now, I am leaning towards Cotto.

I feel that Cotto’s stinging jab is going to surprise Trout. The angle in which Cotto shoots out the jab is dipped in gravy, and the way that Cotto is able to double up the jab is a thing of beauty. He hardly ever just throws out one jab at a time, but slightly lifts his lead foot as he shoots it out and doubles it up. Trout must recognize those subtle movements and must be in position to take a step back and shoot out his straight lead hand over Cotto’s jab.

It’s been quite a while since Cotto last went to his opponents body and kept a lot of commitment there, but I see Cotto bringing back his Caguas Crusher style back for this one. As I mentioned before, I will be cheering for Trout because I really love his story, he is a real nice guy, and I love the fact that he traveled the very hard road and passed with flying colors to get to where he is at today. Trout is a real throwback fighter and I love him for that, but I feel that Cotto’s big fight experience and his lethal jab will be what wins it for him. I also do not feel that Trout has never been in with a fierce puncher like Cotto before. It’s going to feel as if Cotto is swinging a tree trunk at Trout.

I’m picking Cotto to win by UD. If the Cotto that showed up for Mayweather, shows up here, I would be far from shocked if Cotto were to then stop Trout late.

That, however, is my only real concern. How much was taken out of Miguel Cotto in his last fight against Floyd Mayweather Jr.?  It was such a rough fight that Floyd before the fight mentioned that he would fight 2-3 more times, but then after the fight, Floyd went on to say that he may have just fought his last fight. And Floyd won the fight! So one can only wonder what was taken out of Miguel Cotto. We shall soon find out.

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